»Die Welt steuert auf eine Erwärmung von bis zu 4 Grad zu« | Blätter für deutsche und internationale Politik

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»Die Welt steuert auf eine Erwärmung von bis zu 4 Grad zu«

Sonderbericht des Weltklimarats, 8.10.2018 (engl. Originalfassung)

Human activities are estimated to have caused approximately 1.0°C of global warming above pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate (high confidence).

Warming from anthropogenic emissions from the pre-industrial period to the present will persist for centuries to millennia and will continue to cause further long- term changes in the climate system, such as sea level rise, with associated impacts (high confidence), but these emissions alone are unlikely to cause global warming of 1.5°C (medium confidence).

Climate-related risks for natural and human systems are higher for global warming of 1.5°C than at present, but lower than at 2°C (high confidence). These risks depend on the magnitude and rate of warming, geographic location, levels of development and vulnerability, and on the choices and implementation of adaptation and mitigation options (high confidence).

Den vollständigen Bericht finden Sie hier.

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