Bericht der Internationalen Energieagentur, 10.11.2015 (engl. Originalfassung)
Die International Energy Agency konstatiert in ihrer Studie »World Energy Outlook 2015« zwar, dass die Energiewende auf dem richtigen Weg sei, fordert aber zugleich starke Impulse vom bevorstehenden UN-Klimagipfel in Paris. Ein längerer Zeitraum niedriger Öl- und Energiepreise könnte zu Bequemlichkeiten bezüglich der Energiesicherheit führen:
»In the central scenario of WEO-2015, a tightening oil balance leads to a price around $80 per barrel by 2020. But WEO-2015 also examines the conditions under which prices could stay lower for much longer. […]
Developing Asia, a region in which India takes over from China as the largest source of consumption growth, is the leading demand centre for every major element of the world's energy mix in 2040 – oil, gas, coal, renewables and nuclear. By 2040, China's net oil imports are nearly five times those of the United States, while India's easily exceed those of the European Union.
It would be a grave mistake to index our attention to energy security to changes in the oil price," said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. "Now is not the time to relax. Quite the opposite: a period of low oil prices is the moment to reinforce our capacity to deal with future energy security threats.
The report also underlines that the single largest energy demand growth story of recent decades is near its end: China's coal use reaches a plateau at close to today's levels, as its economy rebalances and overall energy demand growth slows, before declining.«
Weitere Informationen zum Bericht der IEA finden Sie hier.