Studie der Conflict Armament Research, 14.12.2017 (engl. Originalfassung)
In the three years between July 2014 and November 2017, Conflict Armament Research (CAR) deployed its field investigation teams across Islamic State (IS) forces’ frontline positions.These operations covered an unbroken arc of territory extending from the northern Syrian city of Kobane to the south of the Iraqi capital, Baghdad.
While this report does not provide an exhaustive overview of all IS weapons and their origins, it is unquestionably the most comprehensive, verified study of the group’s weapons to date.
The report presents an analysis of more than 40,000 items recovered from IS forces between 2014 and 2017. Many of these items originated in shipments that run into the thousands. These items encompass weapons, ammunition, and the traceable components and chemical precursors used by IS forces to manufacture improvised explosive devices (IEDs). With the extensive cooperation of national governments and producer companies, CAR traced many of these items to establish the precise lines of supply that brought them from the place of manufacture to the conflicts raging in Iraq and Syria. Some of the data featured in this report has formed the basis of several criminal proceedings, including investigations by Belgian police into supplies of IED components.
The report finds that: Around 90 per cent of weapons and ammunition (97 per cent and 87 per cent, respectively) deployed by IS forces are Warsaw Pact calibres—originating primarily in China, Russia, and Eastern European producer states. NATO-calibre weapons and ammunition are far less prevalent, comprising 3 per cent and 13 per cent of the total, respectively; although these proportions are low, IS forces captured significant quantities of NATO weaponry during initial assaults on Iraqi forces in 2014.
Unauthorised retransfer—the violation of agreements by which a supplier government prohibits the re-export of materiel by a recipient government without its prior consent—is a significant source of IS weapons and ammunition. The United States and Saudi Arabia supplied most of this materiel without authorisation, apparently to Syrian opposition forces. This diverted materiel, recovered from IS forces, comprises exclusively Warsaw Pact-calibre weapons and ammunition, purchased by the United States and Saudi Arabia from European Union (EU) Member States in Eastern Europe.
CAR documentation shows that the most rapid case of diversion following unauthorised retransfer was that of an advanced anti-tank guided weapon (ATGW). The weapon was manufactured in the EU, sold to the United States, supplied to a party in the Syrian conflict, transferred to IS forces in Iraq, and documented by a CAR field investigation team following its recovery from IS forces. The full chain of transactions occurred within two months of the weapon’s dispatch from the factory.
Russia and China, combined, manufactured more than 50 per cent of the weapons and ammunition held by IS forces. Former Warsaw Pact countries that are now EU Member States manufactured a significant proportion of the remaining materiel (more than 30 per cent of weapons and 20 per cent of ammunition).
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